Election Outlook a month before March 14th Elections

This was one of the most interesting articles I found on Wikileaks. It is part of a document that details possible election results a month before the March 14^th elections. It states that the polls show a Popular Party victory. The only things that may possibly stand in Popular Party leader, Mariano Rajoy’s, way is the Populist Party’s overconfidence, the public’s view of Rajoy’s passive persona, or if the 1300 Spanish troops in Iraq suffer large casualties. Yet even with these “wildcards” the article still states, as according to the polls and different analysts, the only major doubt during this election is whether or not the Populist party will win an absolute majority. And if so, what destruction this majority entails for the Socialist party.

http://wikileaks.ch/cable/2004/02/04MADRID527.html